Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 1392.821178 1528.899645 1667.606917 1819.293300 1980.226111 2145.605340 2328.123380
2025-05-11 1155.787474 1354.288210 1565.377789 1805.427424 2069.700626 2350.671661 2670.870198
2025-05-18 1020.819689 1256.457476 1515.022584 1817.429408 2159.037546 2530.703670 2963.344499
2025-05-25 905.690455 1164.726460 1456.908006 1806.950308 2210.996001 2658.999909 3189.507058
2025-06-01 830.532449 1110.054649 1432.975995 1827.832532 2291.880499 2814.466943 3441.909561
2025-06-08 747.908568 1038.765769 1382.788105 1811.827327 2324.732085 2910.788711 3623.481796
2025-06-15 706.364733 1013.475441 1383.951501 1853.537729 2422.733589 3080.706548 3888.979556
2025-06-22 653.463239 969.650396 1358.854236 1860.311565 2476.557222 3197.098623 4090.982608
2025-06-29 601.363892 922.966386 1326.848939 1855.596346 2514.049760 3292.366384 4266.935974
2025-07-06 532.106060 848.975316 1256.082696 1798.650635 2484.259007 3304.341439 4341.557470
2025-07-13 520.342207 851.310314 1282.782756 1864.339112 2605.942942 3499.526576 4636.673221
2025-07-20 496.735701 835.603995 1284.515625 1897.023458 2685.788524 3643.657204 4870.582391
2025-07-27 460.418394 800.484030 1259.548937 1894.854132 2722.223340 3735.944448 5044.005243
2025-08-03 422.593805 760.856026 1226.595083 1880.645735 2742.258432 3807.474318 5192.183951
2025-08-10 397.106109 737.564770 1214.557558 1892.988648 2795.574946 3920.030699 5390.924177
2025-08-17 366.159177 703.999354 1186.465527 1882.211058 2817.675039 3992.631787 5539.787789
2025-08-24 347.686406 688.328006 1182.657243 1903.687602 2881.581507 4117.996472 5754.804143
2025-08-31 319.353042 655.272151 1152.304749 1887.227071 2894.229297 4177.394727 5886.726747
2025-09-07 309.990691 652.002283 1164.824902 1930.121469 2985.976133 4338.385271 6147.425905
2025-09-14 291.422206 632.422564 1152.318373 1937.086795 3028.991044 4436.460723 6328.645775
2025-09-21 271.071545 608.485230 1132.162729 1932.238304 3055.327023 4512.557339 6481.858283
2025-09-28 239.039777 562.151122 1075.931069 1873.674574 3006.681572 4489.555700 6507.174161
2025-10-05 238.955905 571.997087 1106.422428 1941.228094 3132.008216 4695.448329 6827.968232